Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong position in California's 46th congressional district stems from its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and his established record since 2017. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Correa and Republican David Pan to the November general, with the incumbent capturing over half the vote in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages and limited Republican competitiveness in this Orange County area. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable based on current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,224 交易量
$24,224 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$24,224 交易量
$24,224 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$4,687 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$19,536 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong position in California's 46th congressional district stems from its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and his established record since 2017. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Correa and Republican David Pan to the November general, with the incumbent capturing over half the vote in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages and limited Republican competitiveness in this Orange County area. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,224結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong position in California's 46th congressional district stems from its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and his established record since 2017. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Correa and Republican David Pan to the November general, with the incumbent capturing over half the vote in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages and limited Republican competitiveness in this Orange County area. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,224結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong position in California's 46th congressional district stems from its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and his established record since 2017. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Correa and Republican David Pan to the November general, with the incumbent capturing over half the vote in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages and limited Republican competitiveness in this Orange County area. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain improbable based on current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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