Incumbent Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, his established voter base in the mid-Hudson Valley, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June primaries, with Auringer, a political newcomer, facing structural disadvantages in name recognition and institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges over contribution legality have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these factors while allowing for low-probability shifts from national political swings, late scandals, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,898 交易量
$42,898 交易量
2026-11-03
派特·萊恩（民主黨）
93%
Jacqueline Auringer（共和黨）
7%
$42,898 交易量
$42,898 交易量
2026-11-03
派特·萊恩（民主黨）
$33,521 交易量
93%
Jacqueline Auringer（共和黨）
$9,377 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, his established voter base in the mid-Hudson Valley, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June primaries, with Auringer, a political newcomer, facing structural disadvantages in name recognition and institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges over contribution legality have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these factors while allowing for low-probability shifts from national political swings, late scandals, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$42,898結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, his established voter base in the mid-Hudson Valley, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June primaries, with Auringer, a political newcomer, facing structural disadvantages in name recognition and institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges over contribution legality have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these factors while allowing for low-probability shifts from national political swings, late scandals, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,898結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETIncumbent Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 race due to the district’s Solid Democratic rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, his established voter base in the mid-Hudson Valley, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June primaries, with Auringer, a political newcomer, facing structural disadvantages in name recognition and institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges over contribution legality have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these factors while allowing for low-probability shifts from national political swings, late scandals, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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