Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in the solidly Democratic New York 20th district, encompassing the Capital Region including Albany and Schenectady, underpins the market’s strong consensus. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democrat based on consistent prior margins and the absence of competitive primaries or major shifts in voter registration. Tonko’s substantial fundraising advantage and established committee roles contrast with challenger Ralph Ambrosio’s limited resources and recent campaign focus on energy policy and federal spending. With the November 3 general election approaching, only an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal or health event would realistically alter the current trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,403 交易量
$35,403 交易量
2026-11-02
保羅·通科（民主黨）
96%
拉爾夫·安布羅西奧（共和黨）
4%
$35,403 交易量
$35,403 交易量
2026-11-02
保羅·通科（民主黨）
$16,564 交易量
96%
拉爾夫·安布羅西奧（共和黨）
$18,839 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in the solidly Democratic New York 20th district, encompassing the Capital Region including Albany and Schenectady, underpins the market’s strong consensus. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democrat based on consistent prior margins and the absence of competitive primaries or major shifts in voter registration. Tonko’s substantial fundraising advantage and established committee roles contrast with challenger Ralph Ambrosio’s limited resources and recent campaign focus on energy policy and federal spending. With the November 3 general election approaching, only an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal or health event would realistically alter the current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$35,403結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in the solidly Democratic New York 20th district, encompassing the Capital Region including Albany and Schenectady, underpins the market’s strong consensus. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democrat based on consistent prior margins and the absence of competitive primaries or major shifts in voter registration. Tonko’s substantial fundraising advantage and established committee roles contrast with challenger Ralph Ambrosio’s limited resources and recent campaign focus on energy policy and federal spending. With the November 3 general election approaching, only an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal or health event would realistically alter the current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,403結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETPaul Tonko’s long incumbency in the solidly Democratic New York 20th district, encompassing the Capital Region including Albany and Schenectady, underpins the market’s strong consensus. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democrat based on consistent prior margins and the absence of competitive primaries or major shifts in voter registration. Tonko’s substantial fundraising advantage and established committee roles contrast with challenger Ralph Ambrosio’s limited resources and recent campaign focus on energy policy and federal spending. With the November 3 general election approaching, only an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal or health event would realistically alter the current trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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