The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 result on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution. Five candidates registered after early September nominations, drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency under first-past-the-post rules. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched near even money. Limited public polling, local village-based support networks, and the short campaign window sustain uncertainty. Any separation would likely stem from candidate endorsements, turnout mobilization in key villages, or late developments before polling day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%
Sitiveni Selui 18%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 17%
Sione Tuifio Hui 17%
最新
最新
2026-10-08
『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
44%
Sitiveni Selui
18%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau
17%
Sione Tuifio Hui
17%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
11%
『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%
Sitiveni Selui 18%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 17%
Sione Tuifio Hui 17%
最新
最新
2026-10-08
『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
$225 交易量
44%
Sitiveni Selui
$20 交易量
18%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau
$20 交易量
17%
Sione Tuifio Hui
$34 交易量
17%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
$55 交易量
11%
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 result on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution. Five candidates registered after early September nominations, drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency under first-past-the-post rules. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched near even money. Limited public polling, local village-based support networks, and the short campaign window sustain uncertainty. Any separation would likely stem from candidate endorsements, turnout mobilization in key villages, or late developments before polling day.
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$354結束日期
2026-10-08市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETA by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 result on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution. Five candidates registered after early September nominations, drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency under first-past-the-post rules. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched near even money. Limited public polling, local village-based support networks, and the short campaign window sustain uncertainty. Any separation would likely stem from candidate endorsements, turnout mobilization in key villages, or late developments before polling day.
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
交易量
$354結束日期
2026-10-08市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThe Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 result on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution. Five candidates registered after early September nominations, drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency under first-past-the-post rules. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched near even money. Limited public polling, local village-based support networks, and the short campaign window sustain uncertainty. Any separation would likely stem from candidate endorsements, turnout mobilization in key villages, or late developments before polling day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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