The tightly contested race for second place in the October 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary reflects a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Recent developments such as Faure’s late-August candidacy announcement, ongoing debates over primary rules that limit participation to party members, and scheduled September-October debates have sustained uncertainty among traders. No single contender has consolidated clear momentum behind first place, leaving multiple paths open for second depending on turnout among PS, Place Publique, and GRS adherents. Upcoming candidate forums and any shifts in endorsements or positioning on left-wing alliances could still alter the ordering before first-round voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧利維耶·福爾 57%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼 24%
Ségolène Royal 19%
菲利普·布倫 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
奧利維耶·福爾
37%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼
23%
Ségolène Royal
19%
菲利普·布倫
15%
愛曼紐·莫雷爾
9%
傑羅姆·蓋迪
7%
奧利維耶·福爾 57%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼 24%
Ségolène Royal 19%
菲利普·布倫 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
奧利維耶·福爾
$145 交易量
37%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼
$94 交易量
23%
Ségolène Royal
$52 交易量
19%
菲利普·布倫
$69 交易量
15%
愛曼紐·莫雷爾
$192 交易量
9%
傑羅姆·蓋迪
$68 交易量
7%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The tightly contested race for second place in the October 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary reflects a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Recent developments such as Faure’s late-August candidacy announcement, ongoing debates over primary rules that limit participation to party members, and scheduled September-October debates have sustained uncertainty among traders. No single contender has consolidated clear momentum behind first place, leaving multiple paths open for second depending on turnout among PS, Place Publique, and GRS adherents. Upcoming candidate forums and any shifts in endorsements or positioning on left-wing alliances could still alter the ordering before first-round voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$620結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The tightly contested race for second place in the October 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary reflects a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Recent developments such as Faure’s late-August candidacy announcement, ongoing debates over primary rules that limit participation to party members, and scheduled September-October debates have sustained uncertainty among traders. No single contender has consolidated clear momentum behind first place, leaving multiple paths open for second depending on turnout among PS, Place Publique, and GRS adherents. Upcoming candidate forums and any shifts in endorsements or positioning on left-wing alliances could still alter the ordering before first-round voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
交易量
$620結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETThe tightly contested race for second place in the October 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary reflects a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Olivier Faure, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Recent developments such as Faure’s late-August candidacy announcement, ongoing debates over primary rules that limit participation to party members, and scheduled September-October debates have sustained uncertainty among traders. No single contender has consolidated clear momentum behind first place, leaving multiple paths open for second depending on turnout among PS, Place Publique, and GRS adherents. Upcoming candidate forums and any shifts in endorsements or positioning on left-wing alliances could still alter the ordering before first-round voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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