Raphaël Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the first-round win in the October 9-10 primary to select the social-democratic candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election, reflecting his established polling advantage and recent endorsements such as Anne Hidalgo’s support. The contest tightened after Olivier Faure’s late-August entry and parallel candidacies from Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, with ongoing disputes over whether to broaden participation to figures like François Ruffin testing party discipline and voter turnout rules. Electronic voting open to party members and paying participants, plus the two-round format, keeps outcomes sensitive to mobilization in the final weeks before candidate declarations close on September 15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼 57%
奧利維耶·福爾 20%
傑羅姆·古埃吉 15%
塞格琳·羅雅爾 6%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼
57%
奧利維耶·福爾
20%
傑羅姆·古埃吉
15%
塞格琳·羅雅爾
6%
Emmanuel Maurel
3%
菲利普·布倫
1%
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼 57%
奧利維耶·福爾 20%
傑羅姆·古埃吉 15%
塞格琳·羅雅爾 6%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼
$151 交易量
57%
奧利維耶·福爾
$155 交易量
20%
傑羅姆·古埃吉
$127 交易量
15%
塞格琳·羅雅爾
$127 交易量
6%
Emmanuel Maurel
$118 交易量
3%
菲利普·布倫
$72 交易量
1%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the first-round win in the October 9-10 primary to select the social-democratic candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election, reflecting his established polling advantage and recent endorsements such as Anne Hidalgo’s support. The contest tightened after Olivier Faure’s late-August entry and parallel candidacies from Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, with ongoing disputes over whether to broaden participation to figures like François Ruffin testing party discipline and voter turnout rules. Electronic voting open to party members and paying participants, plus the two-round format, keeps outcomes sensitive to mobilization in the final weeks before candidate declarations close on September 15.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$750結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the first-round win in the October 9-10 primary to select the social-democratic candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election, reflecting his established polling advantage and recent endorsements such as Anne Hidalgo’s support. The contest tightened after Olivier Faure’s late-August entry and parallel candidacies from Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, with ongoing disputes over whether to broaden participation to figures like François Ruffin testing party discipline and voter turnout rules. Electronic voting open to party members and paying participants, plus the two-round format, keeps outcomes sensitive to mobilization in the final weeks before candidate declarations close on September 15.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
交易量
$750結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETRaphaël Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the first-round win in the October 9-10 primary to select the social-democratic candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election, reflecting his established polling advantage and recent endorsements such as Anne Hidalgo’s support. The contest tightened after Olivier Faure’s late-August entry and parallel candidacies from Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel, with ongoing disputes over whether to broaden participation to figures like François Ruffin testing party discipline and voter turnout rules. Electronic voting open to party members and paying participants, plus the two-round format, keeps outcomes sensitive to mobilization in the final weeks before candidate declarations close on September 15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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