Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Texas’s 20th Congressional District, which encompasses much of San Antonio and carries a substantial Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, emerged from an uncontested primary in a district long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 2026, traders view the seat as safely held by the Democratic Party absent any unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於TX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$14,975 交易量
$14,975 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$14,975 交易量
$14,975 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$11,530 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$3,445 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Texas’s 20th Congressional District, which encompasses much of San Antonio and carries a substantial Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, emerged from an uncontested primary in a district long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 2026, traders view the seat as safely held by the Democratic Party absent any unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,975結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Texas’s 20th Congressional District, which encompasses much of San Antonio and carries a substantial Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, emerged from an uncontested primary in a district long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 2026, traders view the seat as safely held by the Democratic Party absent any unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,975結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote in Texas’s 20th Congressional District, which encompasses much of San Antonio and carries a substantial Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, emerged from an uncontested primary in a district long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 2026, traders view the seat as safely held by the Democratic Party absent any unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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