The Texas 19th Congressional District’s R+25 partisan voter index and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 70 points underpin the market’s 95% consensus for a Republican victory. An open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew a crowded March 2026 primary that produced Tom Sell as nominee after he defeated Abraham Enriquez by 28 points in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in the West Texas district encompassing Lubbock and Abilene. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and historical turnout patterns. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national swing could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,847 交易量
$22,847 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$22,847 交易量
$22,847 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$2,921 交易量
96%
Democratic Party
$19,926 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 19th Congressional District’s R+25 partisan voter index and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 70 points underpin the market’s 95% consensus for a Republican victory. An open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew a crowded March 2026 primary that produced Tom Sell as nominee after he defeated Abraham Enriquez by 28 points in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in the West Texas district encompassing Lubbock and Abilene. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and historical turnout patterns. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national swing could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$22,847結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 19th Congressional District’s R+25 partisan voter index and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 70 points underpin the market’s 95% consensus for a Republican victory. An open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew a crowded March 2026 primary that produced Tom Sell as nominee after he defeated Abraham Enriquez by 28 points in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in the West Texas district encompassing Lubbock and Abilene. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and historical turnout patterns. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national swing could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,847結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThe Texas 19th Congressional District’s R+25 partisan voter index and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 70 points underpin the market’s 95% consensus for a Republican victory. An open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew a crowded March 2026 primary that produced Tom Sell as nominee after he defeated Abraham Enriquez by 28 points in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in the West Texas district encompassing Lubbock and Abilene. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and historical turnout patterns. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national swing could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions