Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti libéral du Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below for second and third. High undecided voters near 50 percent, combined with regional divides between francophone strongholds and Montreal-area ridings, sustain volatility in third-place positioning. Conservative gains among certain demographics and Québec solidaire softness further compress the middle of the field. The short campaign window ahead of the October 5 vote, including targeted regional messaging on sovereignty, language policy, and economic issues, will determine whether any contender pulls ahead or if late shifts among soft supporters maintain the current tightness reflected in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於QS 45%
PCQ 43%
CAQ 42%
PVQ 36%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
QS
45%
PCQ
43%
CAQ
42%
PVQ
36%
PQ
28%
PLQ
26%
QS 45%
PCQ 43%
CAQ 42%
PVQ 36%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
QS
$20 交易量
45%
PCQ
$0 交易量
43%
CAQ
$0 交易量
42%
PVQ
$0 交易量
36%
PQ
$0 交易量
28%
PLQ
$0 交易量
26%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti libéral du Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below for second and third. High undecided voters near 50 percent, combined with regional divides between francophone strongholds and Montreal-area ridings, sustain volatility in third-place positioning. Conservative gains among certain demographics and Québec solidaire softness further compress the middle of the field. The short campaign window ahead of the October 5 vote, including targeted regional messaging on sovereignty, language policy, and economic issues, will determine whether any contender pulls ahead or if late shifts among soft supporters maintain the current tightness reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti libéral du Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below for second and third. High undecided voters near 50 percent, combined with regional divides between francophone strongholds and Montreal-area ridings, sustain volatility in third-place positioning. Conservative gains among certain demographics and Québec solidaire softness further compress the middle of the field. The short campaign window ahead of the October 5 vote, including targeted regional messaging on sovereignty, language policy, and economic issues, will determine whether any contender pulls ahead or if late shifts among soft supporters maintain the current tightness reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec, Parti libéral du Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below for second and third. High undecided voters near 50 percent, combined with regional divides between francophone strongholds and Montreal-area ridings, sustain volatility in third-place positioning. Conservative gains among certain demographics and Québec solidaire softness further compress the middle of the field. The short campaign window ahead of the October 5 vote, including targeted regional messaging on sovereignty, language policy, and economic issues, will determine whether any contender pulls ahead or if late shifts among soft supporters maintain the current tightness reflected in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions