Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於CAQ 27%
QS 26%
PCQ 26%
PQ 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
CAQ
27%
QS
26%
PCQ
26%
PQ
24%
PVQ
21%
魁北克自由黨
45%
CAQ 27%
QS 26%
PCQ 26%
PQ 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
CAQ
$0 交易量
27%
QS
$80 交易量
26%
PCQ
$0 交易量
26%
PQ
$0 交易量
24%
PVQ
$146 交易量
21%
魁北克自由黨
$10 交易量
45%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$236結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$236結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions