Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克黨 83%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 15%
魁北克自由黨 3.0%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$931,384 交易量
$931,384 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
83%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
15%
魁北克自由黨
3%
魁北克保守黨
<1%
魁團
<1%
魁北克綠黨
<1%
魁北克黨 83%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 15%
魁北克自由黨 3.0%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$931,384 交易量
$931,384 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
$133,447 交易量
83%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
$143,581 交易量
15%
魁北克自由黨
$139,011 交易量
3%
魁北克保守黨
$251,299 交易量
<1%
魁團
$106,523 交易量
<1%
魁北克綠黨
$157,522 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$931,384結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$931,384結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRecent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions