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icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

icon for 下一任參議院多數黨領袖？
選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

約翰·圖恩 43%

查克·舒默 40%

布萊恩·夏茨 5.0%

湯姆·科頓 2.9%

Polymarket

$153,031 交易量

約翰·圖恩 43%

查克·舒默 40%

布萊恩·夏茨 5.0%

湯姆·科頓 2.9%

Polymarket

$153,031 交易量

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$25,670 交易量

43%

icon for 查克·舒默

查克·舒默

$13,935 交易量

40%

icon for 布萊恩·夏茨

布萊恩·夏茨

$2,882 交易量

5%

icon for 湯姆·科頓

湯姆·科頓

$7,630 交易量

3%

icon for 帕蒂·莫瑞

帕蒂·莫瑞

$5,031 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·巴拉索

約翰·巴拉索

$4,435 交易量

<1%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$4,128 交易量

<1%

icon for 史蒂夫·戴恩斯

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$24,200 交易量

<1%

icon for 艾米·克羅布查

艾米·克羅布查

$4,673 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$5,349 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight race between John Thune (43%) and Chuck Schumer (39.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, where Democrats need a net gain of four seats on a map rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority with Thune as leader, while Schumer leads Democrats in the minority; recent polling shows several Republican-held seats in states including North Carolina, Alaska, Maine, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa shifting toward competitiveness amid national headwinds. Internal party dynamics, including GOP tensions over legislative priorities and Democratic recruitment efforts, add volatility without clear separation. Key upcoming catalysts include final campaign developments in battlegrounds and any late-session votes that could influence turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$153,031
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight race between John Thune (43%) and Chuck Schumer (39.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, where Democrats need a net gain of four seats on a map rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority with Thune as leader, while Schumer leads Democrats in the minority; recent polling shows several Republican-held seats in states including North Carolina, Alaska, Maine, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa shifting toward competitiveness amid national headwinds. Internal party dynamics, including GOP tensions over legislative priorities and Democratic recruitment efforts, add volatility without clear separation. Key upcoming catalysts include final campaign developments in battlegrounds and any late-session votes that could influence turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$153,031
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·圖恩" at 43%, followed by "查克·舒默" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" has generated $153K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is "約翰·圖恩" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "查克·舒默" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.