Skip to main content
icon for 多倫多市長選舉獲勝者
政治·加拿大

多倫多市長選舉獲勝者

icon for 多倫多市長選舉獲勝者
政治·加拿大

多倫多市長選舉獲勝者

Olivia Chow 83%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

Anthony Furey <1%

Polymarket

$122,846 交易量

Olivia Chow 83%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

Anthony Furey <1%

Polymarket

$122,846 交易量

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$28,151 交易量

83%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$32,281 交易量

15%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$15,119 交易量

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,305 交易量

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$8,627 交易量

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$10,598 交易量

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,441 交易量

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$8,323 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to her incumbency advantage after the 2023 by-election victory, combined with strong name recognition and consistent polling leads over her primary challenger, City Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Forum Research show Chow ahead by 9–15 points among decided voters, though the margin has narrowed from spring levels as Bradford gains ground among those previously undecided. Other registered candidates, including Chris Alexander who entered in late July, appear to split limited opposition support without threatening the frontrunner. With nominations closing August 21 and the October 26 vote approaching, traders appear to price in structural barriers for challengers, such as lower visibility and the difficulty of overtaking an established incumbent in a single round of voting.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
交易量
$122,846
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to her incumbency advantage after the 2023 by-election victory, combined with strong name recognition and consistent polling leads over her primary challenger, City Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Forum Research show Chow ahead by 9–15 points among decided voters, though the margin has narrowed from spring levels as Bradford gains ground among those previously undecided. Other registered candidates, including Chris Alexander who entered in late July, appear to split limited opposition support without threatening the frontrunner. With nominations closing August 21 and the October 26 vote approaching, traders appear to price in structural barriers for challengers, such as lower visibility and the difficulty of overtaking an established incumbent in a single round of voting.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
交易量
$122,846
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

相關

icon for 馬克·薩克利夫會在2026年渥太華市長選舉中獲勝嗎？

馬克·薩克利夫會在2026年渥太華市長選舉中獲勝嗎？

59%
是
icon for Pete Fry 會贏得2026年溫哥華市長選舉嗎？

Pete Fry 會贏得2026年溫哥華市長選舉嗎？

27%
是
icon for 芭芭拉·李會贏得奧克蘭市長選舉嗎？

芭芭拉·李會贏得奧克蘭市長選舉嗎？

90%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"多倫多市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia Chow" at 83%, followed by "Brad Bradford" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "多倫多市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $122.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "多倫多市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "多倫多市長選舉獲勝者" is "Olivia Chow" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Bradford" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "多倫多市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.