Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflecting her established position since the 2023 by-election victory and consistent polling advantage over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys show the race tightening, with Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, while late entrant Chris Alexander registers around 10%. This dynamic, combined with Chow’s name recognition and record on municipal issues, underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities. Other listed candidates remain marginal factors at this stage, with limited polling traction or formal momentum ahead of the fall vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Olivia Chow 84%
Brad Bradford 13%
Marco Mendicino 1.1%
Anthony Furey <1%
$127,653 交易量
$127,653 交易量
2026-10-26
Olivia Chow
84%
Brad Bradford
13%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 84%
Brad Bradford 13%
Marco Mendicino 1.1%
Anthony Furey <1%
$127,653 交易量
$127,653 交易量
2026-10-26
Olivia Chow
$31,351 交易量
84%
Brad Bradford
$33,756 交易量
13%
Marco Mendicino
$15,119 交易量
1%
Anthony Furey
$8,321 交易量
<1%
Kevin Clarke
$8,659 交易量
<1%
Ana Bailão
$10,635 交易量
<1%
Michael Ford
$11,463 交易量
<1%
John Tory
$8,348 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflecting her established position since the 2023 by-election victory and consistent polling advantage over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys show the race tightening, with Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, while late entrant Chris Alexander registers around 10%. This dynamic, combined with Chow’s name recognition and record on municipal issues, underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities. Other listed candidates remain marginal factors at this stage, with limited polling traction or formal momentum ahead of the fall vote.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$127,653結束日期
2026-10-26市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflecting her established position since the 2023 by-election victory and consistent polling advantage over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys show the race tightening, with Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, while late entrant Chris Alexander registers around 10%. This dynamic, combined with Chow’s name recognition and record on municipal issues, underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities. Other listed candidates remain marginal factors at this stage, with limited polling traction or formal momentum ahead of the fall vote.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
交易量
$127,653結束日期
2026-10-26市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflecting her established position since the 2023 by-election victory and consistent polling advantage over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys show the race tightening, with Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, while late entrant Chris Alexander registers around 10%. This dynamic, combined with Chow’s name recognition and record on municipal issues, underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities. Other listed candidates remain marginal factors at this stage, with limited polling traction or formal momentum ahead of the fall vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions