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icon for 盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?

盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?

icon for 盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?

盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?

61% 機率
Polymarket
最新

61% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lula holds a consistent lead in 2026 Brazilian presidential polling ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning his campaign to adopt a selective approach to televised debates rather than committing to every early matchup. Recent reporting shows the Workers’ Party candidate is expected to skip the initial August 23 Bandeirantes-organized debate, citing concerns over format, unequal conditions, and the presence of lower-polling candidates, with Flávio Bolsonaro’s camp signaling a parallel absence. Multiple additional qualifying debates remain scheduled for September 14 and September 27, preserving windows for participation before the October 3 resolution deadline. Trader pricing at 60% for “Yes” reflects this mix of confirmed early absences offset by remaining scheduled opportunities and the absence of any blanket refusal to appear.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live.

Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$240
結束日期
2026-10-03
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lula holds a consistent lead in 2026 Brazilian presidential polling ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning his campaign to adopt a selective approach to televised debates rather than committing to every early matchup. Recent reporting shows the Workers’ Party candidate is expected to skip the initial August 23 Bandeirantes-organized debate, citing concerns over format, unequal conditions, and the presence of lower-polling candidates, with Flávio Bolsonaro’s camp signaling a parallel absence. Multiple additional qualifying debates remain scheduled for September 14 and September 27, preserving windows for participation before the October 3 resolution deadline. Trader pricing at 60% for “Yes” reflects this mix of confirmed early absences offset by remaining scheduled opportunities and the absence of any blanket refusal to appear.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live.

Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$240
結束日期
2026-10-03
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "盧拉在第一輪前參加辯論嗎?" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?" is "盧拉在第一輪前參加辯論嗎?" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "盧拉在第一輪之前參加了辯論?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.