Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intentions by margins of roughly 5 to 19 points, with Ciro near or above 49% and Elmano between 33% and 45%. Earlier Quaest polling from late July produced a similar 10-point Ciro advantage. These trends, combined with Ciro’s prior term as governor and high statewide name recognition, have shaped trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor declared candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão remain in low single digits, limiting their impact on the outcome. The race remains subject to late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$160,735 交易量
$160,735 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
29%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$160,735 交易量
$160,735 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$83,680 交易量
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$30,646 交易量
29%
Eduardo Girão
$12,253 交易量
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$11,639 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
$10,682 交易量
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$11,834 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intentions by margins of roughly 5 to 19 points, with Ciro near or above 49% and Elmano between 33% and 45%. Earlier Quaest polling from late July produced a similar 10-point Ciro advantage. These trends, combined with Ciro’s prior term as governor and high statewide name recognition, have shaped trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor declared candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão remain in low single digits, limiting their impact on the outcome. The race remains subject to late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments before voting concludes.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$160,735結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intentions by margins of roughly 5 to 19 points, with Ciro near or above 49% and Elmano between 33% and 45%. Earlier Quaest polling from late July produced a similar 10-point Ciro advantage. These trends, combined with Ciro’s prior term as governor and high statewide name recognition, have shaped trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor declared candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão remain in low single digits, limiting their impact on the outcome. The race remains subject to late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments before voting concludes.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$160,735結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intentions by margins of roughly 5 to 19 points, with Ciro near or above 49% and Elmano between 33% and 45%. Earlier Quaest polling from late July produced a similar 10-point Ciro advantage. These trends, combined with Ciro’s prior term as governor and high statewide name recognition, have shaped trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor declared candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão remain in low single digits, limiting their impact on the outcome. The race remains subject to late shifts in turnout or coalition alignments before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions