Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% for the Bahia gubernatorial race, ahead of ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37.5%, with minor candidates near zero. The positioning reflects the state’s long PT dominance since 2007, Jerônimo’s reported approval near 57% in recent surveys, and incumbency advantages in voter mobilization and resource allocation. ACM Neto’s challenge draws on his prior mayoral record in Salvador and family political legacy, yet polls through early September remain tightly contested, with some showing technical ties or small edges either way amid 13-20% undecided shares. Ongoing September campaign events, including rallies and interior outreach by both fronts, continue to shape visibility without clear momentum shifts. The market consensus implies traders see structural barriers for challengers outweighing polling volatility ahead of the October vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%
$150,608 交易量
$150,608 交易量
2026-10-04
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞
<1%
克萊伯·羅薩
<1%
魯伊·科斯塔
<1%
布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯
<1%
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%
$150,608 交易量
$150,608 交易量
2026-10-04
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯
$49,800 交易量
61%
ACM Neto
$58,683 交易量
38%
João Roma
$5,186 交易量
<1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞
$11,986 交易量
<1%
克萊伯·羅薩
$13,880 交易量
<1%
魯伊·科斯塔
$5,747 交易量
<1%
布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯
$5,325 交易量
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% for the Bahia gubernatorial race, ahead of ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37.5%, with minor candidates near zero. The positioning reflects the state’s long PT dominance since 2007, Jerônimo’s reported approval near 57% in recent surveys, and incumbency advantages in voter mobilization and resource allocation. ACM Neto’s challenge draws on his prior mayoral record in Salvador and family political legacy, yet polls through early September remain tightly contested, with some showing technical ties or small edges either way amid 13-20% undecided shares. Ongoing September campaign events, including rallies and interior outreach by both fronts, continue to shape visibility without clear momentum shifts. The market consensus implies traders see structural barriers for challengers outweighing polling volatility ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$150,608結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThe Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% for the Bahia gubernatorial race, ahead of ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37.5%, with minor candidates near zero. The positioning reflects the state’s long PT dominance since 2007, Jerônimo’s reported approval near 57% in recent surveys, and incumbency advantages in voter mobilization and resource allocation. ACM Neto’s challenge draws on his prior mayoral record in Salvador and family political legacy, yet polls through early September remain tightly contested, with some showing technical ties or small edges either way amid 13-20% undecided shares. Ongoing September campaign events, including rallies and interior outreach by both fronts, continue to shape visibility without clear momentum shifts. The market consensus implies traders see structural barriers for challengers outweighing polling volatility ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$150,608結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETJerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% for the Bahia gubernatorial race, ahead of ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37.5%, with minor candidates near zero. The positioning reflects the state’s long PT dominance since 2007, Jerônimo’s reported approval near 57% in recent surveys, and incumbency advantages in voter mobilization and resource allocation. ACM Neto’s challenge draws on his prior mayoral record in Salvador and family political legacy, yet polls through early September remain tightly contested, with some showing technical ties or small edges either way amid 13-20% undecided shares. Ongoing September campaign events, including rallies and interior outreach by both fronts, continue to shape visibility without clear momentum shifts. The market consensus implies traders see structural barriers for challengers outweighing polling volatility ahead of the October vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions