Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 32-37% in first-round voting intentions, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the low teens and Mateus Simões (PSD) around 8-11%. Multiple second-round simulations give him 46-59% against leading challengers. His advantage stems from sustained polling growth since mid-2026, a resolved party nomination process, and campaign emphasis on IPVA reduction, toll contract reviews, and labor policy changes. Traders price his victory at 85% implied probability, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cleitinho Azevedo 85.7%
帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯 7.4%
Mateus Simões 6.2%
Alexandre Kalil 1.1%
$398,243 交易量
$398,243 交易量
2026-10-04
Cleitinho Azevedo
86%
帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯
7%
Mateus Simões
6%
Alexandre Kalil
1%
Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
1%
弗拉維奧·羅斯科
<1%
本奧尼·門德斯
<1%
路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考
<1%
Nikolas Ferreira
<1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Aécio Neves
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
馬塞洛·阿羅
<1%
Euclydes Pettersen
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
<1%
維托里奧·梅迪奧利
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 85.7%
帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯 7.4%
Mateus Simões 6.2%
Alexandre Kalil 1.1%
$398,243 交易量
$398,243 交易量
2026-10-04
Cleitinho Azevedo
$178,477 交易量
86%
帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯
$12,872 交易量
7%
Mateus Simões
$33,754 交易量
6%
Alexandre Kalil
$40,256 交易量
1%
Gabriel Azevedo
$10,410 交易量
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$20,981 交易量
1%
弗拉維奧·羅斯科
$10,366 交易量
<1%
本奧尼·門德斯
$7,483 交易量
<1%
路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考
$7,577 交易量
<1%
Nikolas Ferreira
$8,659 交易量
<1%
Tadeu Leite
$6,290 交易量
<1%
Aécio Neves
$5,848 交易量
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$5,543 交易量
<1%
馬塞洛·阿羅
$34,146 交易量
<1%
Euclydes Pettersen
$5,253 交易量
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
$4,989 交易量
<1%
維托里奧·梅迪奧利
$5,340 交易量
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 32-37% in first-round voting intentions, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the low teens and Mateus Simões (PSD) around 8-11%. Multiple second-round simulations give him 46-59% against leading challengers. His advantage stems from sustained polling growth since mid-2026, a resolved party nomination process, and campaign emphasis on IPVA reduction, toll contract reviews, and labor policy changes. Traders price his victory at 85% implied probability, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$398,243結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThe Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 32-37% in first-round voting intentions, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the low teens and Mateus Simões (PSD) around 8-11%. Multiple second-round simulations give him 46-59% against leading challengers. His advantage stems from sustained polling growth since mid-2026, a resolved party nomination process, and campaign emphasis on IPVA reduction, toll contract reviews, and labor policy changes. Traders price his victory at 85% implied probability, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$398,243結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETCleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, with recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 32-37% in first-round voting intentions, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the low teens and Mateus Simões (PSD) around 8-11%. Multiple second-round simulations give him 46-59% against leading challengers. His advantage stems from sustained polling growth since mid-2026, a resolved party nomination process, and campaign emphasis on IPVA reduction, toll contract reviews, and labor policy changes. Traders price his victory at 85% implied probability, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions