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政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家

icon for 北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家

Cadu de Lula 39%

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 37%

羅德里戈・波索納羅 37%

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授 36%

Polymarket
最新

Cadu de Lula 39%

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 37%

羅德里戈・波索納羅 37%

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授 36%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 交易量

39%

icon for 阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯

$0 交易量

37%

icon for 羅德里戈・波索納羅

羅德里戈・波索納羅

$0 交易量

37%

icon for 羅伯里奧·保利諾教授

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授

$0 交易量

36%

icon for 艾莉森

艾莉森

$0 交易量

35%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 交易量

35%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 交易量

34%

icon for 卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡

卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡

$0 交易量

34%

icon for 達里奧·巴爾博薩

達里奧·巴爾博薩

$0 交易量

34%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cadu de Lula" at 40%, followed by "阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is "Cadu de Lula" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.