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icon for 米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名

Carlos Viana 31%

Domingos Sávio 27.7%

Marília Campos 19%

Aécio Neves 16.3%

Polymarket

$36,622 交易量

Carlos Viana 31%

Domingos Sávio 27.7%

Marília Campos 19%

Aécio Neves 16.3%

Polymarket

$36,622 交易量

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$12,035 交易量

31%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$4,082 交易量

28%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$7,291 交易量

19%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$2,082 交易量

16%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$1,469 交易量

2%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,534 交易量

1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$1,323 交易量

<1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$581 交易量

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$692 交易量

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$555 交易量

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$458 交易量

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$594 交易量

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$705 交易量

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$549 交易量

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$825 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$559 交易量

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$584 交易量

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$703 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Marília Campos (PT) leading consolidated Senate vote intentions in Minas Gerais at 15-24%, leaving the second seat contested among Carlos Viana (PSD, the incumbent), Domingos Sávio (PL), Marcelo Aro (PP), and to a lesser extent Áurea Carolina (PSOL). Technical ties within margins of error reflect the two-vote system, substantial undecided voters, and competing party chapas tied to gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Viana the highest probability for second place, followed closely by Sávio, consistent with their positioning in the most recent surveys. Aécio Neves’s (PSDB) candidacy announcement on August 28 introduces a new variable that could consolidate or fragment support before the October 4 election. High undecided shares and potential late shifts in alliances or turnout keep separation among contenders limited.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$36,622
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Marília Campos (PT) leading consolidated Senate vote intentions in Minas Gerais at 15-24%, leaving the second seat contested among Carlos Viana (PSD, the incumbent), Domingos Sávio (PL), Marcelo Aro (PP), and to a lesser extent Áurea Carolina (PSOL). Technical ties within margins of error reflect the two-vote system, substantial undecided voters, and competing party chapas tied to gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Viana the highest probability for second place, followed closely by Sávio, consistent with their positioning in the most recent surveys. Aécio Neves’s (PSDB) candidacy announcement on August 28 introduces a new variable that could consolidate or fragment support before the October 4 election. High undecided shares and potential late shifts in alliances or turnout keep separation among contenders limited.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$36,622
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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70%
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49%
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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Viana" at 31%, followed by "Domingos Sávio" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名" has generated $36.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名" is "Carlos Viana" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Domingos Sávio" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.