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icon for 米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·全球選舉

米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·全球選舉

米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名

Marília Campos 61%

Domingos Sávio 11.2%

Aécio Neves 10.7%

Carlos Viana 7.6%

Polymarket

$32,482 交易量

Marília Campos 61%

Domingos Sávio 11.2%

Aécio Neves 10.7%

Carlos Viana 7.6%

Polymarket

$32,482 交易量

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$14,261 交易量

61%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$1,361 交易量

11%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$940 交易量

15%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$8,221 交易量

8%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$791 交易量

2%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$549 交易量

1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$258 交易量

1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$301 交易量

1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$315 交易量

1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$319 交易量

1%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$2,459 交易量

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$400 交易量

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$445 交易量

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$384 交易量

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$427 交易量

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$253 交易量

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$309 交易量

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$489 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) leads trader expectations for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race due to her consistent position atop recent polling averages.** The former Contagem mayor has registered the highest first-vote share in surveys from Genial/Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DATATEMPO since spring 2026, typically between 11% and 24% amid high undecided rates. Her established statewide profile and alignment with the PT-led coalition have sustained this edge. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the contest in late August after initial withdrawal and the exit of other PSDB/PDT names, prompting some rearrangement in the field, yet post-announcement data still place him behind Campos. Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) trail further back. The October 4 vote for the two available seats features 16 confirmed candidates and substantial indecision that could shift final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,482
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) leads trader expectations for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race due to her consistent position atop recent polling averages.** The former Contagem mayor has registered the highest first-vote share in surveys from Genial/Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and DATATEMPO since spring 2026, typically between 11% and 24% amid high undecided rates. Her established statewide profile and alignment with the PT-led coalition have sustained this edge. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the contest in late August after initial withdrawal and the exit of other PSDB/PDT names, prompting some rearrangement in the field, yet post-announcement data still place him behind Campos. Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) trail further back. The October 4 vote for the two available seats features 16 confirmed candidates and substantial indecision that could shift final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,482
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marília Campos" at 61%, followed by "Aécio Neves" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名" has generated $32.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名" is "Marília Campos" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aécio Neves" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "米納斯吉拉斯州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.