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世界·薩摩亞

Falealili 1補選獲勝者

icon for Falealili 1補選獲勝者
世界·薩摩亞

Falealili 1補選獲勝者

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 32%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 28%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 28%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 13%

Polymarket
最新

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 32%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 28%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 28%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 13%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$40 交易量

32%

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$120 交易量

28%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$41 交易量

28%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$0 交易量

13%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$62 交易量

10%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$1 交易量

4%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$81 交易量

3%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa, set for September 18, 2026, follows the Court of Appeal's June upholding of the Electoral Court's ruling that voided former FAST deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates—including HRPP nominees Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, alongside independents and others such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale—has kept implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, reflecting fragmented support and the absence of a decisive frontrunner. Late-August candidate confirmations and the approaching withdrawal deadline have not yet produced consolidation, while the short campaign window limits opportunities for separation. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to the top three or four names, consistent with historical patterns in Samoan by-elections where local networks, party machinery, and last-minute alignments often determine narrow margins in multi-candidate races.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$346
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa, set for September 18, 2026, follows the Court of Appeal's June upholding of the Electoral Court's ruling that voided former FAST deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates—including HRPP nominees Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, alongside independents and others such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale—has kept implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, reflecting fragmented support and the absence of a decisive frontrunner. Late-August candidate confirmations and the approaching withdrawal deadline have not yet produced consolidation, while the short campaign window limits opportunities for separation. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to the top three or four names, consistent with historical patterns in Samoan by-elections where local networks, party machinery, and last-minute alignments often determine narrow margins in multi-candidate races.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$346
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Falealili 1補選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale" at 32%, followed by "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Falealili 1補選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Falealili 1補選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Falealili 1補選獲勝者" is "Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Falealili 1補選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.