**Miami-Dade County’s large Democratic-leaning electorate, diverse Latino and Black voter base, and history of strong turnout for progressive candidates keep the U.S. Senate special election tight between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democratic nominee Angie Nixon.** Nixon’s August 2026 primary upset over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive strength in urban areas, while Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Statewide polls show Moody ahead by roughly 8 points, yet Miami-Dade’s demographics and Nixon’s focus on local economic pressures plus criticism of a reported $10 million Medicaid-related matter create competitive dynamics. Trader consensus around 47-48% for each reflects uncertainty over county-specific turnout, campaign spending in South Florida, and whether the scandal resonates enough locally to narrow Moody’s broader advantage before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Ashley Moody (R)
35%
Angie Nixon (D)
47%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Ashley Moody (R)
$104 交易量
35%
Angie Nixon (D)
$70 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.**Miami-Dade County’s large Democratic-leaning electorate, diverse Latino and Black voter base, and history of strong turnout for progressive candidates keep the U.S. Senate special election tight between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democratic nominee Angie Nixon.**
Nixon’s August 2026 primary upset over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive strength in urban areas, while Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Statewide polls show Moody ahead by roughly 8 points, yet Miami-Dade’s demographics and Nixon’s focus on local economic pressures plus criticism of a reported $10 million Medicaid-related matter create competitive dynamics. Trader consensus around 47-48% for each reflects uncertainty over county-specific turnout, campaign spending in South Florida, and whether the scandal resonates enough locally to narrow Moody’s broader advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
交易量
$174結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.**Miami-Dade County’s large Democratic-leaning electorate, diverse Latino and Black voter base, and history of strong turnout for progressive candidates keep the U.S. Senate special election tight between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democratic nominee Angie Nixon.**
Nixon’s August 2026 primary upset over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive strength in urban areas, while Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Statewide polls show Moody ahead by roughly 8 points, yet Miami-Dade’s demographics and Nixon’s focus on local economic pressures plus criticism of a reported $10 million Medicaid-related matter create competitive dynamics. Trader consensus around 47-48% for each reflects uncertainty over county-specific turnout, campaign spending in South Florida, and whether the scandal resonates enough locally to narrow Moody’s broader advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
交易量
$174結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET**Miami-Dade County’s large Democratic-leaning electorate, diverse Latino and Black voter base, and history of strong turnout for progressive candidates keep the U.S. Senate special election tight between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democratic nominee Angie Nixon.** Nixon’s August 2026 primary upset over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive strength in urban areas, while Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Statewide polls show Moody ahead by roughly 8 points, yet Miami-Dade’s demographics and Nixon’s focus on local economic pressures plus criticism of a reported $10 million Medicaid-related matter create competitive dynamics. Trader consensus around 47-48% for each reflects uncertainty over county-specific turnout, campaign spending in South Florida, and whether the scandal resonates enough locally to narrow Moody’s broader advantage before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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