Georgia's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including incumbent Rick Allen's 60% win in 2024. Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83% of the vote, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June runoff to become the general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's eastern Georgia composition around Augusta, Allen's established incumbency advantage, and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the structural baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on the outcome aligns with these partisan and primary dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,616 交易量
$35,616 交易量
瑞克·艾倫(共和黨)
90%
賽莉塔·史密斯(民主黨)
9%
$35,616 交易量
$35,616 交易量
瑞克·艾倫(共和黨)
90%
賽莉塔·史密斯(民主黨)
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Georgia's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including incumbent Rick Allen's 60% win in 2024. Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83% of the vote, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced through a June runoff to become the general election nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's eastern Georgia composition around Augusta, Allen's established incumbency advantage, and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the structural baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on the outcome aligns with these partisan and primary dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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