John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,199 交易量
$42,199 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·考恩（共和黨）
97%
克里斯·哈登（民主黨）
3%
$42,199 交易量
$42,199 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·考恩（共和黨）
$30,544 交易量
97%
克里斯·哈登（民主黨）
$11,655 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$42,199結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,199結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETJohn Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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