Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican challenger James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Lee’s 13-point margin against the same opponent in 2024 and the concentration of Democratic voters in Pittsburgh and surrounding Allegheny County areas. Hayes remains unopposed in his party’s primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,975 交易量
$16,975 交易量
2026-11-02
Summer Lee（民主黨）
95%
詹姆斯·海斯（共和黨）
3%
$16,975 交易量
$16,975 交易量
2026-11-02
Summer Lee（民主黨）
$12,284 交易量
95%
詹姆斯·海斯（共和黨）
$4,691 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican challenger James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Lee’s 13-point margin against the same opponent in 2024 and the concentration of Democratic voters in Pittsburgh and surrounding Allegheny County areas. Hayes remains unopposed in his party’s primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,975結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican challenger James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Lee’s 13-point margin against the same opponent in 2024 and the concentration of Democratic voters in Pittsburgh and surrounding Allegheny County areas. Hayes remains unopposed in his party’s primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,975結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican challenger James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Lee’s 13-point margin against the same opponent in 2024 and the concentration of Democratic voters in Pittsburgh and surrounding Allegheny County areas. Hayes remains unopposed in his party’s primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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