Adam Hamawy holds a commanding lead in the NJ-12 House race as the Democratic nominee in a district that strongly favors his party, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and Kamala Harris carried the seat by double digits in 2024. Hamawy secured the nomination in June after winning a crowded primary with support from progressive endorsements and substantial outside spending, positioning him to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but has raised far less and lacks comparable visibility or institutional backing. Forecasters rate the contest as safely Democratic, reflecting these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,431 交易量
$24,431 交易量
2026-11-02
亞當·哈馬威（民主黨）
94%
Gregg Mele（共和黨）
5%
$24,431 交易量
$24,431 交易量
2026-11-02
亞當·哈馬威（民主黨）
$15,822 交易量
94%
Gregg Mele（共和黨）
$8,609 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy holds a commanding lead in the NJ-12 House race as the Democratic nominee in a district that strongly favors his party, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and Kamala Harris carried the seat by double digits in 2024. Hamawy secured the nomination in June after winning a crowded primary with support from progressive endorsements and substantial outside spending, positioning him to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but has raised far less and lacks comparable visibility or institutional backing. Forecasters rate the contest as safely Democratic, reflecting these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,431結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy holds a commanding lead in the NJ-12 House race as the Democratic nominee in a district that strongly favors his party, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and Kamala Harris carried the seat by double digits in 2024. Hamawy secured the nomination in June after winning a crowded primary with support from progressive endorsements and substantial outside spending, positioning him to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but has raised far less and lacks comparable visibility or institutional backing. Forecasters rate the contest as safely Democratic, reflecting these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,431結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAdam Hamawy holds a commanding lead in the NJ-12 House race as the Democratic nominee in a district that strongly favors his party, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and Kamala Harris carried the seat by double digits in 2024. Hamawy secured the nomination in June after winning a crowded primary with support from progressive endorsements and substantial outside spending, positioning him to succeed retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but has raised far less and lacks comparable visibility or institutional backing. Forecasters rate the contest as safely Democratic, reflecting these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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