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icon for 愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家
選舉·愛荷華州中期選舉

愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家
選舉·愛荷華州中期選舉

愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家

Polymarket

$272,222 交易量

Polymarket

$272,222 交易量

icon for 艾希莉·辛森（共和黨）

艾希莉·辛森（共和黨）

$138,124 交易量

61%

icon for 喬許·圖瑞克（民主黨）

喬許·圖瑞克（民主黨）

$134,098 交易量

40%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a November 3 general election. Trader consensus at roughly 60 percent for Hinson aligns with the state's consistent Republican lean, including Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, Hinson's strong primary performance with Trump backing, and her fundraising lead. Recent polling remains closely divided, with some surveys showing Hinson ahead by narrow margins and others indicating Turek competitive on issues like costs and agriculture. An October 7 Iowa PBS debate offers both candidates a key platform to define their records before voters. The race's toss-up status underscores how turnout and independent support could influence the final outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$272,222
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a November 3 general election. Trader consensus at roughly 60 percent for Hinson aligns with the state's consistent Republican lean, including Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, Hinson's strong primary performance with Trump backing, and her fundraising lead. Recent polling remains closely divided, with some surveys showing Hinson ahead by narrow margins and others indicating Turek competitive on issues like costs and agriculture. An October 7 Iowa PBS debate offers both candidates a key platform to define their records before voters. The race's toss-up status underscores how turnout and independent support could influence the final outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$272,222
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾希莉·辛森（共和黨）" at 61%, followed by "喬許·圖瑞克（民主黨）" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $272.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家" is "艾希莉·辛森（共和黨）" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "喬許·圖瑞克（民主黨）" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.