Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% amid a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in one of the nation’s most competitive districts. The race has drawn toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with some forecasters leaning Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 800 votes and historical swings. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly three points, while midterm dynamics under the current administration, including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures, have weighed on Republican positioning. Both candidates secured primaries decisively in June, and September campaign activity has centered on economic messaging, with Bohannan emphasizing costs and Miller-Meeks highlighting incumbency and party priorities ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,244 交易量
$28,244 交易量
Christina Bohannan(民主黨)
74%
瑪麗安內特·米勒-米克斯(共和黨)
24%
$28,244 交易量
$28,244 交易量
Christina Bohannan(民主黨)
74%
瑪麗安內特·米勒-米克斯(共和黨)
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% amid a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in one of the nation’s most competitive districts. The race has drawn toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with some forecasters leaning Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 800 votes and historical swings. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly three points, while midterm dynamics under the current administration, including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures, have weighed on Republican positioning. Both candidates secured primaries decisively in June, and September campaign activity has centered on economic messaging, with Bohannan emphasizing costs and Miller-Meeks highlighting incumbency and party priorities ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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