Texas's 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential results where the party secured over 70% of the vote. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in East Texas. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments such as scandals or polling shifts that would alter the outlook. A substantial national political wave or unexpected candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,614 交易量
$24,614 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$24,614 交易量
$24,614 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$5,008 交易量
95%
Democratic Party
$19,605 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential results where the party secured over 70% of the vote. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in East Texas. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments such as scandals or polling shifts that would alter the outlook. A substantial national political wave or unexpected candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,614結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential results where the party secured over 70% of the vote. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in East Texas. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments such as scandals or polling shifts that would alter the outlook. A substantial national political wave or unexpected candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,614結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential results where the party secured over 70% of the vote. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in East Texas. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments such as scandals or polling shifts that would alter the outlook. A substantial national political wave or unexpected candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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