Nick LaLota holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st congressional district, which nonpartisan analysts rate as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota, who won reelection in 2024, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and U.S. Army National Guard veteran, won the Democratic primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in a district with a consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and incumbency effects, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,372 交易量
$42,372 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·拉洛塔（共和黨）
73%
克里斯·加蘭特（民主黨）
27%
$42,372 交易量
$42,372 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·拉洛塔（共和黨）
$16,306 交易量
73%
克里斯·加蘭特（民主黨）
$26,065 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick LaLota holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st congressional district, which nonpartisan analysts rate as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota, who won reelection in 2024, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and U.S. Army National Guard veteran, won the Democratic primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in a district with a consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and incumbency effects, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$42,372結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick LaLota holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st congressional district, which nonpartisan analysts rate as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota, who won reelection in 2024, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and U.S. Army National Guard veteran, won the Democratic primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in a district with a consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and incumbency effects, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,372結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNick LaLota holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st congressional district, which nonpartisan analysts rate as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota, who won reelection in 2024, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and U.S. Army National Guard veteran, won the Democratic primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in a district with a consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and incumbency effects, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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