Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district stems from its R+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including a 13.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and Emmer's decisive primary win on August 11 with over 80 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Doug Chapin is the nominee. Traders price the Republican outcome near 90 percent, reflecting the district's structural fundamentals and limited Democratic path in a low-turnout environment. Late shifts remain possible from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout patterns that could narrow the projected margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,348 交易量
$41,348 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
91%
民主黨
10%
$41,348 交易量
$41,348 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$23,336 交易量
91%
民主黨
$18,012 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district stems from its R+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including a 13.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and Emmer's decisive primary win on August 11 with over 80 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Doug Chapin is the nominee. Traders price the Republican outcome near 90 percent, reflecting the district's structural fundamentals and limited Democratic path in a low-turnout environment. Late shifts remain possible from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout patterns that could narrow the projected margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$41,348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district stems from its R+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including a 13.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and Emmer's decisive primary win on August 11 with over 80 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Doug Chapin is the nominee. Traders price the Republican outcome near 90 percent, reflecting the district's structural fundamentals and limited Democratic path in a low-turnout environment. Late shifts remain possible from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout patterns that could narrow the projected margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district stems from its R+10 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including a 13.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and Emmer's decisive primary win on August 11 with over 80 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Doug Chapin is the nominee. Traders price the Republican outcome near 90 percent, reflecting the district's structural fundamentals and limited Democratic path in a low-turnout environment. Late shifts remain possible from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout patterns that could narrow the projected margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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