Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas with consistent strong support for Democratic candidates in federal races. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and Omar's prior margins exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat's fundamentals and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as ethics reviews or immigration-related allegations have not altered the positioning. Unforeseen events including health issues or major scandals could still influence final results in the remaining weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$49,097 交易量
$49,097 交易量
2026-11-02
伊爾汗·奧馬爾（民主黨）
98%
John Nagel（共和黨）
1%
$49,097 交易量
$49,097 交易量
2026-11-02
伊爾汗·奧馬爾（民主黨）
$18,221 交易量
98%
John Nagel（共和黨）
$30,876 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas with consistent strong support for Democratic candidates in federal races. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and Omar's prior margins exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat's fundamentals and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as ethics reviews or immigration-related allegations have not altered the positioning. Unforeseen events including health issues or major scandals could still influence final results in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$49,097結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas with consistent strong support for Democratic candidates in federal races. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and Omar's prior margins exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat's fundamentals and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as ethics reviews or immigration-related allegations have not altered the positioning. Unforeseen events including health issues or major scandals could still influence final results in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$49,097結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMinnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas with consistent strong support for Democratic candidates in federal races. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and Omar's prior margins exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat's fundamentals and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as ethics reviews or immigration-related allegations have not altered the positioning. Unforeseen events including health issues or major scandals could still influence final results in the remaining weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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