Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a strong partisan voting index that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. The district's urban Minneapolis core and surrounding suburbs have shown limited crossover voting even in national Republican-leaning environments. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,663 交易量
$48,663 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$48,663 交易量
$48,663 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$18,221 交易量
97%
Republican Party
$30,442 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a strong partisan voting index that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. The district's urban Minneapolis core and surrounding suburbs have shown limited crossover voting even in national Republican-leaning environments. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$48,663結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a strong partisan voting index that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. The district's urban Minneapolis core and surrounding suburbs have shown limited crossover voting even in national Republican-leaning environments. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,663結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMinnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a strong partisan voting index that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. The district's urban Minneapolis core and surrounding suburbs have shown limited crossover voting even in national Republican-leaning environments. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or late national political realignment that alters turnout patterns before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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