Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,184 交易量
$18,184 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
3%
$18,184 交易量
$18,184 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$8,754 交易量
96%
共和黨
$9,430 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$18,184結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,184結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMaryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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