Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins favoring the party in federal contests. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee after a crowded field, backed by endorsements from retiring longtime representative Steny Hoyer and other state party leaders, positioning the Democratic candidate as the heavy favorite heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus. While the Republican nominee and any unaffiliated candidates face structural barriers in voter registration and past turnout patterns, scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic participation could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,184 交易量
$18,184 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
3%
$18,184 交易量
$18,184 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$8,754 交易量
96%
共和黨
$9,430 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins favoring the party in federal contests. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee after a crowded field, backed by endorsements from retiring longtime representative Steny Hoyer and other state party leaders, positioning the Democratic candidate as the heavy favorite heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus. While the Republican nominee and any unaffiliated candidates face structural barriers in voter registration and past turnout patterns, scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic participation could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$18,184結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins favoring the party in federal contests. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee after a crowded field, backed by endorsements from retiring longtime representative Steny Hoyer and other state party leaders, positioning the Democratic candidate as the heavy favorite heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus. While the Republican nominee and any unaffiliated candidates face structural barriers in voter registration and past turnout patterns, scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic participation could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,184結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMaryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins favoring the party in federal contests. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee after a crowded field, backed by endorsements from retiring longtime representative Steny Hoyer and other state party leaders, positioning the Democratic candidate as the heavy favorite heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus. While the Republican nominee and any unaffiliated candidates face structural barriers in voter registration and past turnout patterns, scenarios such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic participation could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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