Johnny Olszewski's commanding position in the MD-02 race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and an 18-point margin in the prior cycle. As the incumbent, Olszewski consolidated support by winning the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace, who advanced from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces trader consensus around 95 percent. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,629 交易量
$24,629 交易量
2026-11-02
強尼·歐爾謝夫斯基（民主黨）
96%
戴夫·華萊士（共和黨）
5%
$24,629 交易量
$24,629 交易量
2026-11-02
強尼·歐爾謝夫斯基（民主黨）
$12,596 交易量
96%
戴夫·華萊士（共和黨）
$12,034 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski's commanding position in the MD-02 race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and an 18-point margin in the prior cycle. As the incumbent, Olszewski consolidated support by winning the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace, who advanced from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces trader consensus around 95 percent. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,629結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski's commanding position in the MD-02 race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and an 18-point margin in the prior cycle. As the incumbent, Olszewski consolidated support by winning the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace, who advanced from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces trader consensus around 95 percent. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,629結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJohnny Olszewski's commanding position in the MD-02 race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and an 18-point margin in the prior cycle. As the incumbent, Olszewski consolidated support by winning the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace, who advanced from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces trader consensus around 95 percent. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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