Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination with over 80% in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Dan Schwartz in Maryland’s 1st congressional district. The Eastern Shore seat maintains a clear Republican registration edge and has drawn consistent “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. A Democratic-led redistricting effort aimed at altering the district’s lines failed after Senate inaction and a late-August court ruling preserved existing boundaries. Trader consensus at roughly 90% Republican reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate scandal, serious health event, or a sustained national political wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$56,523 交易量
$56,523 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
91%
民主黨
7%
$56,523 交易量
$56,523 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$32,569 交易量
91%
民主黨
$23,954 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination with over 80% in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Dan Schwartz in Maryland’s 1st congressional district. The Eastern Shore seat maintains a clear Republican registration edge and has drawn consistent “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. A Democratic-led redistricting effort aimed at altering the district’s lines failed after Senate inaction and a late-August court ruling preserved existing boundaries. Trader consensus at roughly 90% Republican reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate scandal, serious health event, or a sustained national political wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$56,523結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination with over 80% in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Dan Schwartz in Maryland’s 1st congressional district. The Eastern Shore seat maintains a clear Republican registration edge and has drawn consistent “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. A Democratic-led redistricting effort aimed at altering the district’s lines failed after Senate inaction and a late-August court ruling preserved existing boundaries. Trader consensus at roughly 90% Republican reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate scandal, serious health event, or a sustained national political wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$56,523結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Andy Harris secured renomination with over 80% in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Dan Schwartz in Maryland’s 1st congressional district. The Eastern Shore seat maintains a clear Republican registration edge and has drawn consistent “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. A Democratic-led redistricting effort aimed at altering the district’s lines failed after Senate inaction and a late-August court ruling preserved existing boundaries. Trader consensus at roughly 90% Republican reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate scandal, serious health event, or a sustained national political wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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