Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins, a pattern reflected in the state's recent presidential and Senate results. Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the primary, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee John Deaton trails significantly in available polling and forecasting models. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals and the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. A late-breaking scandal, serious health development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,944 交易量
$47,944 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
3%
$47,944 交易量
$47,944 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$34,974 交易量
97%
共和黨
$12,970 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins, a pattern reflected in the state's recent presidential and Senate results. Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the primary, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee John Deaton trails significantly in available polling and forecasting models. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals and the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. A late-breaking scandal, serious health development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$47,944結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins, a pattern reflected in the state's recent presidential and Senate results. Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the primary, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee John Deaton trails significantly in available polling and forecasting models. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals and the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. A late-breaking scandal, serious health development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$47,944結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETMassachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins, a pattern reflected in the state's recent presidential and Senate results. Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 after defeating Rep. Seth Moulton in the primary, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee John Deaton trails significantly in available polling and forecasting models. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals and the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. A late-breaking scandal, serious health development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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