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icon for 阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家
選舉·阿拉斯加期中考

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

icon for 阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家
選舉·阿拉斯加期中考

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 63.1%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 28%

特雷格·泰勒 3.5%

大衛·布朗森 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,285,952 交易量

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 63.1%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 28%

特雷格·泰勒 3.5%

大衛·布朗森 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,285,952 交易量

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$39,279 交易量

63%

icon for 伯納黛特·威爾遜

伯納黛特·威爾遜

$172,564 交易量

28%

icon for 特雷格·泰勒

特雷格·泰勒

$37,081 交易量

3%

icon for 大衛·布朗森

大衛·布朗森

$23,733 交易量

2%

icon for 湯姆·貝吉奇

湯姆·貝吉奇

$159,352 交易量

1%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$29,562 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬特·赫伊拉拉

馬特·赫伊拉拉

$40,793 交易量

<1%

icon for 雪莉·休斯

雪莉·休斯

$16,202 交易量

<1%

icon for 麗莎·穆爾科斯基

麗莎·穆爾科斯基

$27,377 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬特·克拉曼

馬特·克拉曼

$20,528 交易量

<1%

icon for 比爾·沃克

比爾·沃克

$9,192 交易量

<1%

icon for 南希·達爾斯特羅姆

南希·達爾斯特羅姆

$129,747 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃德娜·德弗里斯

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$28,361 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞當·克拉姆

亞當·克拉姆

$51,172 交易量

<1%

icon for 詹姆斯·帕金

詹姆斯·帕金

$116,582 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑪麗·佩爾托拉

瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$338,242 交易量

<1%

icon for 漢克·克羅爾

漢克·克羅爾

$19,448 交易量

<1%

icon for 布魯斯·沃爾登

布魯斯·沃爾登

$12,144 交易量

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$5,541 交易量

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$2,936 交易量

<1%

icon for 潔西卡·費爾克洛斯

潔西卡·費爾克洛斯

$3,288 交易量

<1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$2,828 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race following his first-place finish in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary with 22.5% of the vote. Fellow Democrat Tom Begich, who placed second, withdrew shortly afterward and endorsed him, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election under ranked-choice voting. Bernadette Wilson, the leading Republican at roughly 10%, advanced alongside Dave Bronson, while Treg Taylor secured the final spot after procedural adjustments. Republican fragmentation, including debates over whether voters should rank multiple GOP candidates, has kept their probabilities lower. Ongoing September candidate forums on energy, fisheries, and fiscal issues continue to shape positioning in this open race after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$1,285,952
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race following his first-place finish in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary with 22.5% of the vote. Fellow Democrat Tom Begich, who placed second, withdrew shortly afterward and endorsed him, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election under ranked-choice voting. Bernadette Wilson, the leading Republican at roughly 10%, advanced alongside Dave Bronson, while Treg Taylor secured the final spot after procedural adjustments. Republican fragmentation, including debates over whether voters should rank multiple GOP candidates, has kept their probabilities lower. Ongoing September candidate forums on energy, fisheries, and fiscal issues continue to shape positioning in this open race after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$1,285,952
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 63%, followed by "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家" is "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.