**James Talarico holds a 62.5% implied probability of winning Collin County in the November 2026 U.S. Senate general election, ahead of Ken Paxton at 37.5%.** Collin County, a fast-growing suburban area north of Dallas and Paxton’s longtime political base, has emerged as a key battleground in the competitive statewide race. Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 runoff with strong Trump-backed support, but the general election matchup has drawn attention to suburban voter shifts. Talarico has actively campaigned in the county, emphasizing appeals to independents and moderate Republicans while highlighting Paxton’s legal and ethical controversies. Recent polling shows the statewide contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining a significant fundraising edge. These dynamics position Collin County as more competitive than traditional Republican strongholds, reflecting trader assessments of suburban trends and candidate positioning ahead of early voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
57%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
27%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
$635 交易量
57%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
$284 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**James Talarico holds a 62.5% implied probability of winning Collin County in the November 2026 U.S. Senate general election, ahead of Ken Paxton at 37.5%.**
Collin County, a fast-growing suburban area north of Dallas and Paxton’s longtime political base, has emerged as a key battleground in the competitive statewide race. Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 runoff with strong Trump-backed support, but the general election matchup has drawn attention to suburban voter shifts. Talarico has actively campaigned in the county, emphasizing appeals to independents and moderate Republicans while highlighting Paxton’s legal and ethical controversies. Recent polling shows the statewide contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining a significant fundraising edge. These dynamics position Collin County as more competitive than traditional Republican strongholds, reflecting trader assessments of suburban trends and candidate positioning ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
交易量
$919結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**James Talarico holds a 62.5% implied probability of winning Collin County in the November 2026 U.S. Senate general election, ahead of Ken Paxton at 37.5%.**
Collin County, a fast-growing suburban area north of Dallas and Paxton’s longtime political base, has emerged as a key battleground in the competitive statewide race. Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 runoff with strong Trump-backed support, but the general election matchup has drawn attention to suburban voter shifts. Talarico has actively campaigned in the county, emphasizing appeals to independents and moderate Republicans while highlighting Paxton’s legal and ethical controversies. Recent polling shows the statewide contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining a significant fundraising edge. These dynamics position Collin County as more competitive than traditional Republican strongholds, reflecting trader assessments of suburban trends and candidate positioning ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
交易量
$919結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET**James Talarico holds a 62.5% implied probability of winning Collin County in the November 2026 U.S. Senate general election, ahead of Ken Paxton at 37.5%.** Collin County, a fast-growing suburban area north of Dallas and Paxton’s longtime political base, has emerged as a key battleground in the competitive statewide race. Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 runoff with strong Trump-backed support, but the general election matchup has drawn attention to suburban voter shifts. Talarico has actively campaigned in the county, emphasizing appeals to independents and moderate Republicans while highlighting Paxton’s legal and ethical controversies. Recent polling shows the statewide contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining a significant fundraising edge. These dynamics position Collin County as more competitive than traditional Republican strongholds, reflecting trader assessments of suburban trends and candidate positioning ahead of early voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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