Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in Vermont’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection to a sixth term. Scott’s sustained popularity across prior cycles, combined with his focus on tax relief and spending restraint, underpins his lead despite a modest dip in job approval to a four-year low. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her party’s August primary on a platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded public services, has generated grassroots momentum and outraised Scott in recent fundraising. However, limited name recognition and the state’s recent pattern of strong incumbent performance continue to shape market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$68,204 交易量
$68,204 交易量
2026-11-02
菲爾·斯科特（共和黨）
88%
阿曼達·雅努（民主黨）
9%
$68,204 交易量
$68,204 交易量
2026-11-02
菲爾·斯科特（共和黨）
$32,786 交易量
88%
阿曼達·雅努（民主黨）
$35,418 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in Vermont’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection to a sixth term. Scott’s sustained popularity across prior cycles, combined with his focus on tax relief and spending restraint, underpins his lead despite a modest dip in job approval to a four-year low. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her party’s August primary on a platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded public services, has generated grassroots momentum and outraised Scott in recent fundraising. However, limited name recognition and the state’s recent pattern of strong incumbent performance continue to shape market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$68,204結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in Vermont’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection to a sixth term. Scott’s sustained popularity across prior cycles, combined with his focus on tax relief and spending restraint, underpins his lead despite a modest dip in job approval to a four-year low. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her party’s August primary on a platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded public services, has generated grassroots momentum and outraised Scott in recent fundraising. However, limited name recognition and the state’s recent pattern of strong incumbent performance continue to shape market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$68,204結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETIncumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in Vermont’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection to a sixth term. Scott’s sustained popularity across prior cycles, combined with his focus on tax relief and spending restraint, underpins his lead despite a modest dip in job approval to a four-year low. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her party’s August primary on a platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded public services, has generated grassroots momentum and outraised Scott in recent fundraising. However, limited name recognition and the state’s recent pattern of strong incumbent performance continue to shape market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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