Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, her strong primary performance with 98 percent support, and repeated polling advantages of roughly 30 points or more over Republican Gerald Malloy. Vermont has not sent a Republican to Congress in nearly three decades, and forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Malloy, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,790 交易量
$39,790 交易量
2026-11-02
貝卡·巴林特（民主黨）
96%
Gerald Malloy（共和黨）
5%
$39,790 交易量
$39,790 交易量
2026-11-02
貝卡·巴林特（民主黨）
$8,792 交易量
96%
Gerald Malloy（共和黨）
$30,998 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, her strong primary performance with 98 percent support, and repeated polling advantages of roughly 30 points or more over Republican Gerald Malloy. Vermont has not sent a Republican to Congress in nearly three decades, and forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Malloy, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$39,790結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, her strong primary performance with 98 percent support, and repeated polling advantages of roughly 30 points or more over Republican Gerald Malloy. Vermont has not sent a Republican to Congress in nearly three decades, and forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Malloy, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,790結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, her strong primary performance with 98 percent support, and repeated polling advantages of roughly 30 points or more over Republican Gerald Malloy. Vermont has not sent a Republican to Congress in nearly three decades, and forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Malloy, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unexpected national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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