North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Julie Fedorchak's decisive June 2026 primary victory over challenger Alex Balazs and her prior 2024 general election margin of 69 percent against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, Trygve Hammer. Traders price Fedorchak's commanding position based on her substantial fundraising edge, endorsement from President Trump, and the state's voting patterns in recent cycles, with race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Hammer secured his nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's partisan composition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current evidence points to limited immediate catalysts for such movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$59,855 交易量
$59,855 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉·費多查克（共和黨）
95%
Trygve Hammer（民主黨）
4%
$59,855 交易量
$59,855 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉·費多查克（共和黨）
$43,062 交易量
95%
Trygve Hammer（民主黨）
$16,793 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Julie Fedorchak's decisive June 2026 primary victory over challenger Alex Balazs and her prior 2024 general election margin of 69 percent against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, Trygve Hammer. Traders price Fedorchak's commanding position based on her substantial fundraising edge, endorsement from President Trump, and the state's voting patterns in recent cycles, with race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Hammer secured his nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's partisan composition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current evidence points to limited immediate catalysts for such movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$59,855結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Julie Fedorchak's decisive June 2026 primary victory over challenger Alex Balazs and her prior 2024 general election margin of 69 percent against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, Trygve Hammer. Traders price Fedorchak's commanding position based on her substantial fundraising edge, endorsement from President Trump, and the state's voting patterns in recent cycles, with race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Hammer secured his nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's partisan composition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current evidence points to limited immediate catalysts for such movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,855結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNorth Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Julie Fedorchak's decisive June 2026 primary victory over challenger Alex Balazs and her prior 2024 general election margin of 69 percent against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, Trygve Hammer. Traders price Fedorchak's commanding position based on her substantial fundraising edge, endorsement from President Trump, and the state's voting patterns in recent cycles, with race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Hammer secured his nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's partisan composition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current evidence points to limited immediate catalysts for such movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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