South Dakota's at-large congressional district has delivered Republican victories in every House election since 2008, reflecting its strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal contests. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the former attorney general as a high-profile candidate in an open seat previously held by Dusty Johnson. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side, but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of statewide offices and legislative majorities. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually large midterm swing could narrow the margin, though historical margins and the current candidate field make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,016 交易量
$32,016 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
4%
$32,016 交易量
$32,016 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$24,328 交易量
95%
民主黨
$7,688 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has delivered Republican victories in every House election since 2008, reflecting its strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal contests. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the former attorney general as a high-profile candidate in an open seat previously held by Dusty Johnson. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side, but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of statewide offices and legislative majorities. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually large midterm swing could narrow the margin, though historical margins and the current candidate field make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$32,016結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has delivered Republican victories in every House election since 2008, reflecting its strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal contests. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the former attorney general as a high-profile candidate in an open seat previously held by Dusty Johnson. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side, but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of statewide offices and legislative majorities. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually large midterm swing could narrow the margin, though historical margins and the current candidate field make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,016結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETSouth Dakota's at-large congressional district has delivered Republican victories in every House election since 2008, reflecting its strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal contests. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning the former attorney general as a high-profile candidate in an open seat previously held by Dusty Johnson. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side, but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of statewide offices and legislative majorities. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually large midterm swing could narrow the margin, though historical margins and the current candidate field make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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