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icon for 緬因州參議院選舉贏家
政治·緬因州中期選舉

緬因州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 緬因州參議院選舉贏家
政治·緬因州中期選舉

緬因州參議院選舉贏家

Polymarket

$1,339,893 交易量

Polymarket

$1,339,893 交易量

icon for 特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）

特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）

$802,727 交易量

71%

icon for 蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）

蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）

$537,166 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democrat Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Susan Collins in Maine’s 2026 Senate race, reflecting the challenger’s ability to consolidate Democratic support and appeal to independents after his July convention nomination replaced the prior nominee. Key drivers include Collins’ lengthy tenure drawing anti-incumbent sentiment in a state that has trended leftward, her alignment with national Republican priorities, and Jackson’s focus on economic issues and debates scheduled for October that could highlight contrasts. Fundraising favors the incumbent, yet the race’s status as a potential Senate control pivot has amplified trader focus on turnout dynamics and late-cycle momentum. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these factors amid historical precedent for competitive Maine contests.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,339,893
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democrat Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Susan Collins in Maine’s 2026 Senate race, reflecting the challenger’s ability to consolidate Democratic support and appeal to independents after his July convention nomination replaced the prior nominee. Key drivers include Collins’ lengthy tenure drawing anti-incumbent sentiment in a state that has trended leftward, her alignment with national Republican priorities, and Jackson’s focus on economic issues and debates scheduled for October that could highlight contrasts. Fundraising favors the incumbent, yet the race’s status as a potential Senate control pivot has amplified trader focus on turnout dynamics and late-cycle momentum. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these factors amid historical precedent for competitive Maine contests.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,339,893
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"緬因州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）" at 71%, followed by "蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "緬因州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" is "特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.