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icon for 緬因州參議院選舉贏家
政治·緬因州中期選舉

緬因州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 緬因州參議院選舉贏家
政治·緬因州中期選舉

緬因州參議院選舉贏家

Polymarket

$1,340,090 交易量

Polymarket

$1,340,090 交易量

icon for 特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）

特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）

$802,857 交易量

71%

icon for 蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）

蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）

$537,233 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Troy Jackson holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maine Senate race primarily because Maine's left-leaning presidential voting patterns and the state's large independent bloc create a structural edge for Democrats in a contest viewed as pivotal for Senate control. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after Graham Platner withdrew amid allegations, consolidating support from progressives and most rivals while shifting focus to the general election. Recent polling, including a Rasmussen survey showing Jackson ahead by one point among likely voters, and forecasts rating the race a toss-up or tilt Democratic, have reinforced perceptions of competitiveness. Collins, the five-term incumbent seeking a sixth term, maintains advantages in fundraising and name recognition but faces attacks over her long tenure and positions on key issues. Both candidates have agreed to multiple October debates, which could influence turnout and undecided voters before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,340,090
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Troy Jackson holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maine Senate race primarily because Maine's left-leaning presidential voting patterns and the state's large independent bloc create a structural edge for Democrats in a contest viewed as pivotal for Senate control. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after Graham Platner withdrew amid allegations, consolidating support from progressives and most rivals while shifting focus to the general election. Recent polling, including a Rasmussen survey showing Jackson ahead by one point among likely voters, and forecasts rating the race a toss-up or tilt Democratic, have reinforced perceptions of competitiveness. Collins, the five-term incumbent seeking a sixth term, maintains advantages in fundraising and name recognition but faces attacks over her long tenure and positions on key issues. Both candidates have agreed to multiple October debates, which could influence turnout and undecided voters before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,340,090
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"緬因州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）" at 71%, followed by "蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "緬因州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" is "特洛伊·傑克森（民主黨）" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘇珊·柯林斯（共和黨）" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "緬因州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.