Chellie Pingree’s commanding position in the Maine 1st District race stems from her long incumbency since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 58 percent in 2024, and the district’s Democratic lean anchored by Portland and surrounding coastal areas. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voter index and voter patterns in recent cycles. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after prevailing in the June 2026 primary, previously lost to Pingree in 2024 and trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. The general election on November 3 remains months away, but the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent. A major national partisan shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,036 交易量
$45,036 交易量
2026-11-02
切利·平格里（民主黨）
95%
羅納德·羅素（共和黨）
4%
$45,036 交易量
$45,036 交易量
2026-11-02
切利·平格里（民主黨）
$30,135 交易量
95%
羅納德·羅素（共和黨）
$14,900 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree’s commanding position in the Maine 1st District race stems from her long incumbency since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 58 percent in 2024, and the district’s Democratic lean anchored by Portland and surrounding coastal areas. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voter index and voter patterns in recent cycles. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after prevailing in the June 2026 primary, previously lost to Pingree in 2024 and trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. The general election on November 3 remains months away, but the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent. A major national partisan shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,036結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree’s commanding position in the Maine 1st District race stems from her long incumbency since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 58 percent in 2024, and the district’s Democratic lean anchored by Portland and surrounding coastal areas. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voter index and voter patterns in recent cycles. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after prevailing in the June 2026 primary, previously lost to Pingree in 2024 and trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. The general election on November 3 remains months away, but the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent. A major national partisan shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,036結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETChellie Pingree’s commanding position in the Maine 1st District race stems from her long incumbency since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 58 percent in 2024, and the district’s Democratic lean anchored by Portland and surrounding coastal areas. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voter index and voter patterns in recent cycles. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after prevailing in the June 2026 primary, previously lost to Pingree in 2024 and trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. The general election on November 3 remains months away, but the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the incumbent. A major national partisan shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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