Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in Maine’s 1st Congressional District due to her long tenure since 2009, repeated strong performances including a 20-plus point margin in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indexes around D+11. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after winning his June 2026 primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in his prior unsuccessful challenge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this southern Maine district anchored by Portland make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,036 交易量
$45,036 交易量
2026-11-02
切利·平格里（民主黨）
95%
羅納德·羅素（共和黨）
3%
$45,036 交易量
$45,036 交易量
2026-11-02
切利·平格里（民主黨）
$30,135 交易量
95%
羅納德·羅素（共和黨）
$14,900 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in Maine’s 1st Congressional District due to her long tenure since 2009, repeated strong performances including a 20-plus point margin in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indexes around D+11. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after winning his June 2026 primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in his prior unsuccessful challenge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this southern Maine district anchored by Portland make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,036結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in Maine’s 1st Congressional District due to her long tenure since 2009, repeated strong performances including a 20-plus point margin in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indexes around D+11. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after winning his June 2026 primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in his prior unsuccessful challenge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this southern Maine district anchored by Portland make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,036結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in Maine’s 1st Congressional District due to her long tenure since 2009, repeated strong performances including a 20-plus point margin in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indexes around D+11. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee after winning his June 2026 primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in his prior unsuccessful challenge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Pingree aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this southern Maine district anchored by Portland make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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