Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and his established record as a multi-term representative with strong fundraising and primary support. The solidly Republican district rating and projected double-digit margins have produced trader consensus heavily favoring Fitzgerald ahead of the November 3 general election. Andrew Beck, the Democratic nominee and first-time candidate, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and resources. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political realignments, late scandals affecting either candidate, or significant turnout surprises in the Milwaukee suburbs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$59,311 交易量
$59,311 交易量
史考特·費茲傑羅(共和黨)
96%
安德魯·貝克(民主黨)
4%
$59,311 交易量
$59,311 交易量
史考特·費茲傑羅(共和黨)
96%
安德魯·貝克(民主黨)
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024, and his established record as a multi-term representative with strong fundraising and primary support. The solidly Republican district rating and projected double-digit margins have produced trader consensus heavily favoring Fitzgerald ahead of the November 3 general election. Andrew Beck, the Democratic nominee and first-time candidate, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and resources. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political realignments, late scandals affecting either candidate, or significant turnout surprises in the Milwaukee suburbs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions