**Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the 2026 Wisconsin 6th congressional district race.** The district, covering east-central areas including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman, the incumbent, secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 11 primary with over 99% of the vote after winning 61% in 2024. Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but faces limited fundraising and no major recent polling shifts favoring his side. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91% Republican reflects the district’s structural advantages and incumbency, though a national Democratic wave, unexpected scandals, or unusually high third-party turnout on November 3 could narrow margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,012 交易量
$36,012 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
5%
$36,012 交易量
$36,012 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$19,640 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$16,372 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the 2026 Wisconsin 6th congressional district race.** The district, covering east-central areas including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman, the incumbent, secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 11 primary with over 99% of the vote after winning 61% in 2024. Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but faces limited fundraising and no major recent polling shifts favoring his side. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican.
Trader consensus at 91% Republican reflects the district’s structural advantages and incumbency, though a national Democratic wave, unexpected scandals, or unusually high third-party turnout on November 3 could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$36,012結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the 2026 Wisconsin 6th congressional district race.** The district, covering east-central areas including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman, the incumbent, secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 11 primary with over 99% of the vote after winning 61% in 2024. Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but faces limited fundraising and no major recent polling shifts favoring his side. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican.
Trader consensus at 91% Republican reflects the district’s structural advantages and incumbency, though a national Democratic wave, unexpected scandals, or unusually high third-party turnout on November 3 could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,012結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET**Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the 2026 Wisconsin 6th congressional district race.** The district, covering east-central areas including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman, the incumbent, secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 11 primary with over 99% of the vote after winning 61% in 2024. Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but faces limited fundraising and no major recent polling shifts favoring his side. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91% Republican reflects the district’s structural advantages and incumbency, though a national Democratic wave, unexpected scandals, or unusually high third-party turnout on November 3 could narrow margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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