Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote in a five-candidate field, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and his family ties to former district representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in a solidly Republican area rated safe by multiple forecasters. Traders assign Alfonso a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,374 交易量
$42,374 交易量
2026-11-02
邁克爾·阿方索（共和黨）
95%
弗雷德·克拉克（民主黨）
2%
$42,374 交易量
$42,374 交易量
2026-11-02
邁克爾·阿方索（共和黨）
$21,551 交易量
95%
弗雷德·克拉克（民主黨）
$20,823 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote in a five-candidate field, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and his family ties to former district representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in a solidly Republican area rated safe by multiple forecasters. Traders assign Alfonso a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,374結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote in a five-candidate field, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and his family ties to former district representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in a solidly Republican area rated safe by multiple forecasters. Traders assign Alfonso a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,374結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETMichael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote in a five-candidate field, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and his family ties to former district representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in a solidly Republican area rated safe by multiple forecasters. Traders assign Alfonso a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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