Elaine Pelino leads the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Aaron Guckian at 31.8%, with Robert Raimondo and others at negligible levels. The September 9, 2026 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign momentum or endorsements. Pelino's positioning stems from her visible statewide outreach, platform emphasizing parental rights in education and common-sense governance as a non-career politician, and dedicated campaign infrastructure. Guckian, who entered the race in late 2025 as one of the early Republican contenders, draws support through his background in education and public service while stressing moderation and compassion. Limited recent polling or major announcements keep the field focused on these two, with minimal activity from other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects Pelino's stronger current visibility and organizational efforts heading into the primary window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Elaine Pelino 63%
Aaron Guckian 31.8%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$25,938 交易量
$25,938 交易量
Elaine Pelino
63%
Aaron Guckian
32%
Robert Raimondo
1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 63%
Aaron Guckian 31.8%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$25,938 交易量
$25,938 交易量
Elaine Pelino
63%
Aaron Guckian
32%
Robert Raimondo
1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino leads the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Aaron Guckian at 31.8%, with Robert Raimondo and others at negligible levels. The September 9, 2026 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign momentum or endorsements. Pelino's positioning stems from her visible statewide outreach, platform emphasizing parental rights in education and common-sense governance as a non-career politician, and dedicated campaign infrastructure. Guckian, who entered the race in late 2025 as one of the early Republican contenders, draws support through his background in education and public service while stressing moderation and compassion. Limited recent polling or major announcements keep the field focused on these two, with minimal activity from other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects Pelino's stronger current visibility and organizational efforts heading into the primary window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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