密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

約翰·詹姆斯 95.8%

佩里·約翰遜 4.5%

Mike Cox <1%

阿里克·內斯比特 <1%

$211,591 交易量

2026-08-04

約翰·詹姆斯

$110,878 交易量

96%

佩里·約翰遜

$70,091 交易量

Mike Cox

$8,447 交易量

<1%

阿里克·內斯比特

$3,664 交易量

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$2,832 交易量

<1%

安東尼·哈德森

$2,751 交易量

<1%

湯姆·倫納德

$2,891 交易量

<1%

威廉·納爾

$2,631 交易量

<1%

卡拉·瓦格納

$2,498 交易量

<1%

伊文·史派斯

$2,860 交易量

<1%

喬伊斯·吉普森

$2,171 交易量

<1%

約翰·詹姆斯 95.8%

佩里·約翰遜 4.5%

Mike Cox <1%

阿里克·內斯比特 <1%

$211,591 交易量

2026-08-04

約翰·詹姆斯

$110,878 交易量

96%

佩里·約翰遜

$70,091 交易量

Mike Cox

$8,447 交易量

<1%

阿里克·內斯比特

$3,664 交易量

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$2,832 交易量

<1%

安東尼·哈德森

$2,751 交易量

<1%

湯姆·倫納德

$2,891 交易量

<1%

威廉·納爾

$2,631 交易量

<1%

卡拉·瓦格納

$2,498 交易量

<1%

伊文·史派斯

$2,860 交易量

<1%

喬伊斯·吉普森

$2,171 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 96%, followed by "佩里·約翰遜" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $211.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "約翰·詹姆斯" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "佩里·約翰遜" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $211.6K traded on “密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 96¢ for "約翰·詹姆斯" in the "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 96% chance that "約翰·詹姆斯" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 96¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 4¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

密歇根州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

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