**The tight three-way contest among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—is the main driver keeping implied probabilities for third place clustered near even odds for most contenders.** With legislative elections set for September 23, 2026, recent campaign activity since September 10 has centered on job creation pledges and economic delivery amid persistent youth discontent and low trust in institutions. Historical 2021 results placed RNI first, PAM second, and PI third, and current dynamics—including PAM’s reported organizational momentum and candidate recruitment alongside RNI’s established machinery and PI’s territorial base—suggest any of the three could finish in the top spots depending on local mobilization and turnout. PJD’s attempted recovery from its 2021 collapse and smaller parties’ limited national reach reinforce the view that separation among the leaders will likely determine third place, with traders assigning PI the clearest edge in that specific outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PI 51%
RNI 30%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.2%
$41,253 交易量
$41,253 交易量
2026-09-23
PI
51%
RNI
30%
PJD
8%
PAM
4%
USFP
8%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 51%
RNI 30%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.2%
$41,253 交易量
$41,253 交易量
2026-09-23
PI
$20,221 交易量
51%
RNI
$15,817 交易量
30%
PJD
$1,072 交易量
8%
PAM
$1,385 交易量
4%
USFP
$1,116 交易量
8%
UC
$536 交易量
<1%
MP
$568 交易量
<1%
PPS
$537 交易量
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**The tight three-way contest among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—is the main driver keeping implied probabilities for third place clustered near even odds for most contenders.** With legislative elections set for September 23, 2026, recent campaign activity since September 10 has centered on job creation pledges and economic delivery amid persistent youth discontent and low trust in institutions. Historical 2021 results placed RNI first, PAM second, and PI third, and current dynamics—including PAM’s reported organizational momentum and candidate recruitment alongside RNI’s established machinery and PI’s territorial base—suggest any of the three could finish in the top spots depending on local mobilization and turnout. PJD’s attempted recovery from its 2021 collapse and smaller parties’ limited national reach reinforce the view that separation among the leaders will likely determine third place, with traders assigning PI the clearest edge in that specific outcome.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$41,253結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETLegislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**The tight three-way contest among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—is the main driver keeping implied probabilities for third place clustered near even odds for most contenders.** With legislative elections set for September 23, 2026, recent campaign activity since September 10 has centered on job creation pledges and economic delivery amid persistent youth discontent and low trust in institutions. Historical 2021 results placed RNI first, PAM second, and PI third, and current dynamics—including PAM’s reported organizational momentum and candidate recruitment alongside RNI’s established machinery and PI’s territorial base—suggest any of the three could finish in the top spots depending on local mobilization and turnout. PJD’s attempted recovery from its 2021 collapse and smaller parties’ limited national reach reinforce the view that separation among the leaders will likely determine third place, with traders assigning PI the clearest edge in that specific outcome.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$41,253結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET**The tight three-way contest among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—is the main driver keeping implied probabilities for third place clustered near even odds for most contenders.** With legislative elections set for September 23, 2026, recent campaign activity since September 10 has centered on job creation pledges and economic delivery amid persistent youth discontent and low trust in institutions. Historical 2021 results placed RNI first, PAM second, and PI third, and current dynamics—including PAM’s reported organizational momentum and candidate recruitment alongside RNI’s established machinery and PI’s territorial base—suggest any of the three could finish in the top spots depending on local mobilization and turnout. PJD’s attempted recovery from its 2021 collapse and smaller parties’ limited national reach reinforce the view that separation among the leaders will likely determine third place, with traders assigning PI the clearest edge in that specific outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions